It’s simple for fans and sports bettors to overlook UFC 224 while awaiting CM Punk’s redemption fight at UFC 225, the champion vs. champion match-up at UFC 226 and also the rumored Georges St-Pierre vs. Nate Diaz bout at UFC 227.
That’d be a mistake.
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, is becoming an exciting fight card with intriguing options for gamblers seeking to parlay prelim fights with main-card bouts. The real cash on this card is going to be made by betting on stoppages, decisions or even the over-under on rounds; not on digging to find underdogs to drop money on.
[Editor’s note: You can follow Kel in @KelDansby. Dansby is author for ABC 13 at Las Vegas and co-host of The Corner Podcast along with Andreas Hale. The podcast covers boxing, mixed martial arts and also pro wrestling by your Hip Hop generation’s view.]
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington, Preview, Betting Picks: Nunes vs. Pennington, Souza vs. Gastelum, Okeinik vs. Albini and More UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington, Preview, Betting Picks: Nunes vs. Pennington, Souza vs. Gastelum, Okeinik vs. Albini and much more Let us begin with the card’s main event women’s bantamweight title fight between Amanda Nunes (-1400) and Racquel Pennington (+800). Pennington enters UFC 224 to a four-fight winning streak, with her last loss coming by split decision to former bantamweight champion and current featherweight contender Holly Holm.
That streak of success will jump off the page to people expecting to bet on a name underdog to mad a champion that still has a lot to prove, but if you dig deeper you find that Pennington’s series is a small mirage.
“Rocky” has only stopped two of her last 10 opponents. The two of those competitions, Jessica Andrade (strawweight) and Ashlee Evans-Smith (flyweight), are now competing in lighter weight classes. Pennington had a split decision to defeat Bethe Correia, which isn’t a great vote of confidence for those hoping she will beat Nunes.
Pennington’s most recent wins were against Elizabeth Phillips along with a deflated Meisha Tate — equally also coming by choice. The cherry on top of this”do not fall for the underdog narrative” cautionary tale is that the fact that Pennington hasn’t competed since November 2016 and is being thrust into this title fight.
The winner Amanda Nunes has been much more striking in her last 10 fights, which explains why she is such a heavy favorite.
Since the beginning of 2016, Nunes holds two wins over Valentina Shevchenko, a first-round submission of Miesha Tate and Sara McMann, along with an absolutely demolishing knockout of Ronda Rousey.
In fact, the only individuals to take Nunes beyond the initial round of a struggle was Shevchenko and Cat Zingano, who ceased Nunes with strikes in UFC 178.
Nunes has increased a lot since then and also the smart cash points at her quitting Pennington in two and a half dozen rounds that’s currently at -135. If the rounds frighten you, but wish to still put money on Nunes, subsequently Nunes by TKO at +120 is a much safer way to play with it. (Note: all odds herein come from William Hill.)
There’s a threat with this bet. Pennington has just been stopped once in her profession, coincidentally also in the hands of Cat Zingano. For those with their hearts set on betting the puppy, Pennington dropping by decision (Nunes by UD in +325) is the very best bet because the figures say that an upset isn’t occurring on Saturday night.
Speaking of live dogs, the UFC 224 co-main is where creative bets can lead to cashing a substantial ticket.
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