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NASCAR at Bristol odds, key stats, bets to consider: Finding value in matchup props

September 11, 2019 Peyman Uncategorized 0 comments

After a weekend in Texas, NASCAR heads to Bristol Motor Speedway to the 2019 Cup Series season’s eighth race.

Sunday’s 500-lap Food City 500 marks the next race on a half-mile monitor this season, but Bristol’s unique concrete design with exorbitant banking is actually more similar to Dover’s one-mile track than Martinsville. Kevin Harvick, kyle Busch and Chase Elliott have graced victory lane the previous three races at Dover.

Busch is currently Sunday’s race favorite in 5/2 odds at the Westgate SuperBook, with Harvick and Elliott priced at 12/1 and 14/1, respectively. Busch, who has finished in the top 10 in each of NASCAR’s seven races this year, leads active drivers with seven wins at Bristol. Busch has listed 10 top-five and 15 top-10 finishes in 27 starts at the track.

Even though Busch is hot this year, Harvick isn’t, especially with his lofty standards. He’s led just 133 laps and he has led laps in two races. He’s led just 22 laps in Bristol over the previous four races but has finished within the top 10 in each.

Considering the stiff gambling matchups oddsmakers have Harvick in –from Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano and Kyle Larson — it is tough to trust Harvick together with the rules bundle used this week.

Recent results, rules bundle

In Bristol, the Cup Series will run the 2019 rules package tailored for short tracks (less than 1.33 miles) and street courses. A 1.17-inch tapered spacer will be used, with motors expected to create about 750 horsepower. No aero ducts will be used. This weekend’s configuration of the 2019 rules package will be used at 14 occasions in total this year. The 1.17-inch tapered spacer was first used this season at 1-mile ISM Raceway on March 10 in Phoenix in a race won by Kyle Busch.

Recent Bristol winners
2018 Fall: Kurt Busch
2018 Spring: Kyle Busch
2017 Fall: Kyle Busch
2017 Spring: Jimmie Johnson

Recent Dover winners
2018 Fall: Chase Elliott
2018 Spring: Kevin Harvick
2017 Fall: Kyle Busch
2017 Spring: Jimmie Johnson

MORE: Chances to win NASCAR Cup Series championship

Odds to win 2019 Food City 500 in Bristol

Odds Supplied by Westgate

Kyle BUSCH 5/2
Kyle LARSON 7/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Kevin HARVICK 12/1
Ryan BLANEY 12/1
Denny HAMLIN 14/1
Erik JONES 14/1
Kurt BUSCH 14/1
Martin TRUEX JR 14/1
Clint BOWYER 14/1
Chase ELLIOTT 14/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 25/1
Alex BOWMAN 60/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Austin DILLON 80/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 300/1
Daniel HEMRIC 300/1
Ryan PREECE 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 1000/1
David RAGAN 5000/1
FIELD (others) 1000/1

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