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BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 9 DRAFTKINGS BREAKDOWN

September 10, 2019 Peyman Uncategorized 0 comments

This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card in Canada. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first location cost and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that qualify. I will attempt to get my 2nd seat this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I’ll likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at the $25k decoration, and then I will likely have a few shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to get a fantastic amount of play into cash games.
With that said, let us get to a few plays I like this week Together with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Macy Chiasson — $9,400
Macy Chiasson is by far the safest play on the board and she has 100+ stage upside. She is a lock within my money games this week and I don’t really see how she loses. I think a entry could be Moras’ best opportunity but she isn’t capable of finding the fight to the ground, so that I see her becoming dominated on the toes until the ref measures. She is by far my favorite play in the $9k selection and she’s a -750 on the betting line. I like playing with it safer in money games and I think she is a secure triumph this week.
GPP play of this week — Greg Hardy- $8,600
This is an easy one for me this week and he will be the chalk of this week. I will still be obese on Merab though. His style is precisely what we want on DraftKings. He has a nonstop speed and he shoots takedowns very often. He has 22 landed takedowns in his first 3 UFC fights which is his very best route to victory in this matchup too. Even with two losses on his album from these 3 fights, he averages more DK points than Katona does with his 2-0 UFC record. This is not my GPP drama of the week since I understand he’s going to win, I just know IF he wins he will score highly, and that he needs to easily reach value within an $8.6k price tag.
Underdog play of this week — Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone — $7,800
I have to select Cowboy as the puppy of the week. His fights are always action packed and the winner of the fight will surely be about the first-place lineup. Particularly if it is Cowboy. He almost always scores over 100 points in his wins and he’s 5-rounds to use here. I really don’t find a situation where he wins and does not wind up on the 25k lineup. I will be overweight on Cowboy this week, but this really is an all-in fight for me. If Cowboy is not in one of my lineups, then you are going to see Iaquinta there. I will be thicker on the Cowboy side though and I think he gets the job done by submission.
Fade of the week — Elias Theodorou ($8,000)
I would be quite surprised to see Theodorou on the 1st place lineup this week. I’d be surprised to see him get even 10x his $8k price tag and that is why I will have zero lineups together with him this week. Not counting his struggle with Dan Kelly, his 4 wins before that scored 76, 69, 64, and 49. His style is just not good for DraftKings. He is going to need to knock Brunson out whether he’s going to score highly and that he isn’t a power puncher. I believe you are better off carrying Elias from TKO on the betting line at +870. I really don’t see any reason to spend in him this week in GPPs since he doesn’t have the ceiling we want to win that large $25k. I believe he’s fine in money games as a 65-point win wouldn’t kill us . But he’s an easy fade of the week for me this Saturday.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and also provide my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I am 71-45 for +233.79u (+$23,379) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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